Arjantin 2-1 Moritanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.11
Draw
10%
8.78
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
14.3
2-3 Goals
38%
3.18
4-5 Goals
32%
2.23
6+ Goals
14%
2.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
84%
-10.1pp
10%
Draw
8%
+2.0pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Moritanya EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.83/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.81
-3% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +118%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
501 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 74%
39.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.5 Crosses 6.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin
2-1
AWAY Moritanya
0.67 xG 1.04
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
650 Passes 338
92% Pass Accuracy 88%
28 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arjantin vs Moritanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin squeezed past Moritanya 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arjantin as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arjantin had 64% of the ball to Moritanya's 36%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.67 to 1.04.

What was the final score of Arjantin vs Moritanya?

Arjantin 2-1 Moritanya in the Friendlies on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin vs Moritanya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Arjantin 74%, draw 10%, Moritanya 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arjantin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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