Kanada 2-2 İzlanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Mar 2026

Kanada
2-2 HT 0-2
İzlanda
📅28/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Kanada vs İzlanda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.32 — our 27% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.85
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
16.6
X/1
17%
3.84
X/2
8%
12.0
X/X
9%
5.65
2/1
6%
22.65
2/2
6%
10.2
2/X
7%
18.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kanada v İzlanda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.69/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.49
-48% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
26.2 Crosses 13.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Kanada vs İzlanda Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada
0W-2D-1L
AWAY İzlanda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
The Meetings
19.01.2015 Kanada Kanada 1-1 HT 1-0 İzlanda İzlanda HAZ
16.01.2015 Kanada Kanada 1-2 HT 0-2 İzlanda İzlanda HAZ
22.08.2007 İzlanda İzlanda 1-1 HT 0-0 Kanada Kanada HAZ

Kanada 2-2 İzlanda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada
2-2
AWAY İzlanda
2.33 xG 0.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
328 Passes 240
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kanada vs İzlanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada and İzlanda shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kanada at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kanada had 56% of the ball to İzlanda's 44%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 2.33 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İzlanda led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kanada and 1.33 for İzlanda.

What was the final score of Kanada vs İzlanda?

Kanada 2-2 İzlanda in the Friendlies on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada vs İzlanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kanada 60%, draw 22%, İzlanda 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kanada) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kanada) ✓ Over 2.5
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