Stal Stalowa Wola 4-2 Olimpia Elblag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.68
Over 2.5
55%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
56%
-10.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
44%
+10.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
30.09.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 0-0 HT 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
03.06.2020 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 2-2 HT 0-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
4-2
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Elblag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola beat Olimpia Elblag 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stal Stalowa Wola as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 55% of the ball to Olimpia Elblag's 45%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stal Stalowa Wola and 0.67 for Olimpia Elblag.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Elblag?

Stal Stalowa Wola 4-2 Olimpia Elblag in the Poland - Cup on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Elblag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 45%, draw 28%, Olimpia Elblag 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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