Kalisz 0-2 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 38%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
1.43/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-8% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
04.11.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 2-2 HT 2-2 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
29.05.2021 Kalisz Kalisz 2-1 HT 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
06.12.2020 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
0-2
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz got the better of Kalisz 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Olimpia Grudziadz found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kalisz had 50% of the ball to Olimpia Grudziadz's 50%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kalisz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kalisz and 0.75 for Olimpia Grudziadz.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Kalisz 0-2 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - Cup on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 34%, draw 31%, Olimpia Grudziadz 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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