07/08/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
BUL vs Maroons Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
31%
Draw
26%
30%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BUL v Maroons — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
BUL
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Maroons
EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
349 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
282 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
BUL vs Maroons Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
BUL
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Maroons
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
BUL vs Maroons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
BUL swept aside Maroons 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day BUL made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
What was the final score of BUL vs Maroons?
BUL 3-0 Maroons in the UGS8 on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BUL vs Maroons?
Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split BUL 39%, draw 31%, Maroons 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BUL), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (BUL)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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UGS8
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7 Aug 2024