Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 7 Aug 2025

📅07/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.31
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.64
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -59%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
0-1
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali edged past Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 32% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 68%, shots finished 3-9.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Arda Kardzhali?

Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 Arda Kardzhali in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 48%, draw 29%, Arda Kardzhali 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
7 Aug 2025
19:00 Aris Limassol vs AEK Atina Analysis →
19:00 Araz Nahçıvan vs Omonia Nicosia Analysis →
19:00 Rosenborg vs Hammarby Analysis →
19:00 Milsami vs Virtus Analysis →
19:30 Banik Ostrava vs Austria Wien Analysis →
20:00 AIK vs Györi ETO Analysis →