Milsami 3-2 Virtus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 7 Aug 2025

📅07/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.22
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.51
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
29%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
78%
-6.2pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.0pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.6pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -52%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 6.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
3-2
AWAY Virtus
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Milsami vs Virtus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami nicked a narrow win over Virtus 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Milsami as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Milsami had 63% of the ball to Virtus's 37%, shots finished 21-6.

What was the final score of Milsami vs Virtus?

Milsami 3-2 Virtus in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs Virtus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Milsami 71%, draw 16%, Virtus 13%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milsami), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milsami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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