Folgore Caratese 1-1 Pavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Aug 2025

Folgore Caratese
1-1 HT 1-1
Pavia
📅07/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Folgore Caratese vs Pavia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.75
No
39%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.0pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Folgore Caratese v Pavia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Folgore Caratese EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pavia EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
367 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Folgore Caratese vs Pavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Folgore Caratese and Pavia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Folgore Caratese at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Folgore Caratese vs Pavia?

Folgore Caratese 1-1 Pavia in the Friendlies on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Folgore Caratese vs Pavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Folgore Caratese win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Folgore Caratese 44%, draw 24%, Pavia 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Folgore Caratese), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Folgore Caratese) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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