Foligno 3-1 Sambenedettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Aug 2025

📅07/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.5pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.7pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-0.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foligno EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sambenedettese EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foligno
3-1
AWAY Sambenedettese
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Foligno vs Sambenedettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foligno saw off Sambenedettese 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sambenedettese at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Foligno had 47% of the ball to Sambenedettese's 53%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Foligno vs Sambenedettese?

Foligno 3-1 Sambenedettese in the Friendlies on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foligno vs Sambenedettese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sambenedettese win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Foligno 30%, draw 18%, Sambenedettese 52%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sambenedettese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sambenedettese) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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