Wolverhampton 3-0 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.27
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
75%
-7.4pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.2pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
2.20/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.59
-1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +150%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
481 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.9 Crosses 19.2
0.7 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Port Vale
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
01.03.2014 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
31.08.2013 Port Vale Port Vale 1-3 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
3-0
AWAY Port Vale
1.36 xG 1.93
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
473 Passes 196
23 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton swept aside Port Vale 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wolverhampton as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.93 — on chances, Port Vale could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Wolverhampton and 0.50 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Port Vale?

Wolverhampton 3-0 Port Vale in the England - League Cup on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 68%, draw 18%, Port Vale 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolverhampton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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