Middlesbrough vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Middlesbrough v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals
Middlesbrough vs Wrexham Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Middlesbrough 1-0 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics
Middlesbrough squeezed past Wrexham 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.59 to 1.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.50 for Wrexham.
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?
Middlesbrough 1-0 Wrexham in the England - League Cup on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 57%, draw 22%, Wrexham 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.