Pontypridd Town AFC 3-2 Pontardawe Town FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.89
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+5.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.86/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.83
-6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
398 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Pontardawe Town FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC edged past Pontardawe Town FC 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Pontardawe Town FC?

Pontypridd Town AFC 3-2 Pontardawe Town FC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Pontardawe Town FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 54%, draw 20%, Pontardawe Town FC 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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