Caerau (Ely) 1-1 Ynyshir Albions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
8%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
70%
+3.5pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.4pp
8%
Away Win
12%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Ynyshir Albions EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
2.06/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.12
-23% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
350 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caerau (Ely)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ynyshir Albions
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
04.04.2026 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 2-0 HT 1-0 Ynyshir Albions GALFAW
26.07.2025 Ynyshir Albions 1-4 HT 1-3 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) and Ynyshir Albions couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Caerau (Ely) at 73% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Caerau (Ely) and 0.50 for Ynyshir Albions.

What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?

Caerau (Ely) 1-1 Ynyshir Albions in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 73%, draw 19%, Ynyshir Albions 8%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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