Caerau (Ely) 2-0 Ynyshir Albions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.22
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.88
No
42%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
31%
X/2
2%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
77%
-1.2pp
13%
Draw
14%
-1.0pp
11%
Away Win
8%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.4pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Ynyshir Albions EU Bookmakers 11%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
2.39/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.13
-20% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caerau (Ely)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ynyshir Albions
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.07.2025 Ynyshir Albions 1-4 HT 1-3 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) beat Ynyshir Albions 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?

Caerau (Ely) 2-0 Ynyshir Albions in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Ynyshir Albions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 76%, draw 13%, Ynyshir Albions 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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