Aberystwyth Town 2-2 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 33%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.83/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.39
+1% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Llantwit Major
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.07.2025 Llantwit Major 1-2 HT 1-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberystwyth Town and Llantwit Major shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Llantwit Major?

Aberystwyth Town 2-2 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 40%, draw 27%, Llantwit Major 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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