Llantwit Major 1-2 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.3pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberystwyth Town nicked a narrow win over Llantwit Major 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aberystwyth Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Aberystwyth Town?

Llantwit Major 1-2 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 30%, draw 24%, Aberystwyth Town 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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