Cwmbran Celtic 0-4 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.1pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.2pp
39%
Away Win
48%
-9.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.4pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 52%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.69/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.63
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
08.02.2025 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-0 HT 1-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
07.01.2025 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
29.03.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
12.08.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-1 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
28.01.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-3 HT 2-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
22.10.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 3-5 HT 2-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town swept aside Cwmbran Celtic 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Carmarthen Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cwmbran Celtic and 2.67 for Carmarthen Town.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Carmarthen Town?

Cwmbran Celtic 0-4 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 30%, draw 31%, Carmarthen Town 39%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
26 Jul 2025
16:30 Holywell vs Flint Mountain Analysis →
16:30 Gresford Athletic vs Guilsfield Analysis →
16:30 Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch Analysis →
16:30 Buckley Town vs Airbus UK Analysis →
16:30 Ynyshir Albions vs Caerau (Ely) Analysis →
16:30 Llantwit Major vs Aberystwyth Town Analysis →