Gresford Athletic 1-3 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.41
No
48%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.4pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
67%
-14.3pp
48%
BTTS No
33%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 56%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.55/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.84
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +79%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
303 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Guilsfield
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
4 Corners 3
08.03.2025 Guilsfield 4-1 HT 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
13.09.2024 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
01.04.2024 Guilsfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
06.09.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
14.02.2023 Guilsfield 2-1 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
05.11.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield beat Gresford Athletic 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guilsfield as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gresford Athletic and 1.17 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Guilsfield?

Gresford Athletic 1-3 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 32%, draw 21%, Guilsfield 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guilsfield), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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