Gresford Athletic 1-0 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
59%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.43
Over 2.5
64%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.0pp
59%
Away Win
62%
-3.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 67%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.09/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.21
-22% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 504 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Guilsfield
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
4 Corners 3
01.04.2024 Guilsfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
06.09.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
14.02.2023 Guilsfield 2-1 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
05.11.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic squeezed past Guilsfield 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Guilsfield carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Gresford Athletic and 0.75 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Guilsfield?

Gresford Athletic 1-0 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 22%, draw 19%, Guilsfield 59%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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