Guilsfield 0-1 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
2.56/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.30
+26% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +61%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
3 Corners 4
06.09.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
14.02.2023 Guilsfield 2-1 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
05.11.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic nicked a narrow win over Guilsfield 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Guilsfield at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guilsfield had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guilsfield and 0.67 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Gresford Athletic?

Guilsfield 0-1 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 48%, draw 22%, Gresford Athletic 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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