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Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caerau (Ely) v Afan Lido — Team-Based Signals
Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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4-1
HT 3-0
Afan Lido
GALWK
3-1
HT 0-1
Caerau (Ely)
GALFAW
Caerau (Ely) nicked a narrow win over Afan Lido 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (65%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Caerau (Ely) and 2.00 for Afan Lido.
What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido?
Caerau (Ely) 3-2 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 43%, draw 27%, Afan Lido 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.