Pontardawe Town FC 3-3 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.68
Over 2.5
68%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.25
No
37%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
32%
Under 2.5
24%
+8.2pp
68%
Over 2.5
76%
-8.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
76%
-12.3pp
37%
BTTS No
24%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 37%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.98/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/2.55
+3% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontardawe Town FC
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
4 Corners 7
16.09.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 4-4 HT 3-2 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC GALFAW
29.08.2022 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC 3-4 HT 0-2 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontardawe Town FC vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontardawe Town FC and Cwmbran Celtic shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Pontardawe Town FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cwmbran Celtic led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Pontardawe Town FC and 4.00 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Pontardawe Town FC vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Pontardawe Town FC 3-3 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontardawe Town FC vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontardawe Town FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pontardawe Town FC 46%, draw 23%, Cwmbran Celtic 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pontardawe Town FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontardawe Town FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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