Denbigh Town 2-4 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Sep 2024

Denbigh Town
2-4 HT 1-3
Colwyn Bay
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Denbigh Town vs Colwyn Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.96
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
1.39
No
28%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-3.6pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.6pp
72%
BTTS Yes
68%
+3.8pp
28%
BTTS No
32%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Denbigh Town v Colwyn Bay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 56%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.00/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.44
+23% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay saw off Denbigh Town 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (72%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Denbigh Town 2-4 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 30%, draw 23%, Colwyn Bay 47%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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