Mold Alexandra 2-2 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.9
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.46
No
55%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
48%
+7.7pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.6pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
64%
-18.9pp
55%
BTTS No
36%
+18.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.82/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.41
-8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
454 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
22.03.2025 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-0 HT 0-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
02.11.2024 Mold Alexandra 1-2 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
11.03.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 2-2 HT 1-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra and Penrhyncoch shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mold Alexandra at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Penrhyncoch led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mold Alexandra and 1.33 for Penrhyncoch.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch?

Mold Alexandra 2-2 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 56%, draw 19%, Penrhyncoch 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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