Ynyshir Albions 1-4 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Jul 2025

Ynyshir Albions
1-4 HT 1-3
Caerau (Ely)
📅26/07/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Ynyshir Albions vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ynyshir Albions v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ynyshir Albions EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 54%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.75/2.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.52
+14% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Ynyshir Albions vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) ran out comfortable winners over Ynyshir Albions 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Ynyshir Albions vs Caerau (Ely)?

Ynyshir Albions 1-4 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ynyshir Albions vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ynyshir Albions 33%, draw 23%, Caerau (Ely) 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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