Holywell 2-1 Flint Mountain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 26%
+16% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.12/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/0.97
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +98%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Flint Mountain
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.04.2025 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain 1-1 HT 1-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
12.10.2024 Holywell Holywell 1-2 HT 1-2 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain GALFAW
13.10.2023 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain 3-1 HT 2-1 Holywell Holywell GALWK
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Flint Mountain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell squeezed past Flint Mountain 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Flint Mountain led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Holywell and 2.00 for Flint Mountain.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Flint Mountain?

Holywell 2-1 Flint Mountain in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Flint Mountain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Holywell 44%, draw 26%, Flint Mountain 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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