Holywell 1-2 Flint Mountain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Oct 2024

Holywell
1-2 HT 1-2
Flint Mountain
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Holywell vs Flint Mountain Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.17
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
67%
-3.9pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.9pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+5.0pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holywell v Flint Mountain — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.49/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
+10% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -46%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
450 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Holywell vs Flint Mountain Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Flint Mountain
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
13.10.2023 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain 3-1 HT 2-1 Holywell Holywell GALWK
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Flint Mountain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Mountain edged past Holywell 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Holywell at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Flint Mountain?

Holywell 1-2 Flint Mountain in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Flint Mountain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Holywell 63%, draw 17%, Flint Mountain 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holywell) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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