Llantwit Major 1-1 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Oct 2024

Llantwit Major
1-1 HT 1-1
Newport City
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Llantwit Major vs Newport City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Llantwit Major v Newport City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 37%
+21% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.78/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.00
-5% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +75%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Llantwit Major vs Newport City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Newport City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
20.07.2024 Llantwit Major 2-0 HT 1-0 Newport City Newport City GALLK
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major and Newport City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Newport City?

Llantwit Major 1-1 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 38%, draw 25%, Newport City 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Llantwit Major), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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