12/10/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-3
Caersws vs Buckley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
25%
Draw
23%
42%
Away Win
43%
38%
Under 2.5
34%
62%
Over 2.5
66%
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
41%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caersws v Buckley Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Caersws
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Buckley Town
EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+7% /
+7%
2.09/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.85/1.65
+24%
/
-21%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-1%
/
-4%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
443 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
282 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Caersws vs Buckley Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Caersws
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Buckley Town
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Caersws vs Buckley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Caersws cruised past Buckley Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Buckley Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.
What was the final score of Caersws vs Buckley Town?
Caersws 3-0 Buckley Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caersws vs Buckley Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Buckley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Caersws 33%, draw 25%, Buckley Town 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Buckley Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Buckley Town)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
GALFAW
More Wales - FAW Championship
12 Oct 2024