Penrhyncoch 1-3 Ruthin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Oct 2024

Penrhyncoch
1-3 HT 0-2
Ruthin Town
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.63
Over 2.5
68%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.38
No
33%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-6.0pp
32%
Under 2.5
34%
-2.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
66%
+2.1pp
67%
BTTS Yes
68%
-1.2pp
33%
BTTS No
32%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Penrhyncoch v Ruthin Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.76/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.42
-6% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ruthin Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
33% Ball Possession 67%
2 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
23.08.2024 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 2-3 HT 1-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
10.02.2023 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
06.09.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-1 HT 1-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
04.12.2021 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 5-1 HT 0-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruthin Town got the better of Penrhyncoch 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Penrhyncoch at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ruthin Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Penrhyncoch and 2.50 for Ruthin Town.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town?

Penrhyncoch 1-3 Ruthin Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penrhyncoch win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 44%, draw 26%, Ruthin Town 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Penrhyncoch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penrhyncoch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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