Ruthin Town 2-3 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.98
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.3pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.84/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.16
+32% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
418 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruthin Town
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 4
10.02.2023 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
06.09.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-1 HT 1-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
04.12.2021 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 5-1 HT 0-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penrhyncoch edged past Ruthin Town 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Ruthin Town carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ruthin Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ruthin Town and 1.00 for Penrhyncoch.

What was the final score of Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch?

Ruthin Town 2-3 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruthin Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ruthin Town 56%, draw 26%, Penrhyncoch 18%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ruthin Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruthin Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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