Ammanford 2-3 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.43/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.40
+31% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
20.01.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
06.10.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 2-2 HT 1-2 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
02.01.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
27.12.2022 Ammanford Ammanford 0-4 HT 0-3 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
18.04.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
15.04.2022 Ammanford Ammanford 1-3 HT 0-2 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town edged past Ammanford 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ammanford at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ammanford and 2.50 for Carmarthen Town.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Carmarthen Town?

Ammanford 2-3 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 44%, draw 26%, Carmarthen Town 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ammanford) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ammanford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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