Taffs Well 2-1 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 40%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.40/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/2.62
-25% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taffs Well
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
03.02.2024 Taffs Well Taffs Well 6-2 HT 2-2 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
30.09.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 HT 0-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
22.07.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-2 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALLK
03.03.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-5 HT 1-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
30.07.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 3-4 HT 0-2 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
11.12.2021 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-3 HT 0-2 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
POST-MATCH Taffs Well vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taffs Well squeezed past Cwmbran Celtic 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Taffs Well as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Taffs Well had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Taffs Well and 2.17 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Taffs Well 2-1 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taffs Well win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 41%, draw 28%, Cwmbran Celtic 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Taffs Well), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Taffs Well) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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