Baglan Dragons 2-2 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
54%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
53%
Away Win
60%
-6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 64%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.51/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/1.03
+12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
199 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 552 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Llanelli Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0 Corners 5
02.03.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 1-2 HT 1-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
08.09.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons and Llanelli Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Llanelli Town at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Llanelli Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baglan Dragons and 2.00 for Llanelli Town.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Llanelli Town?

Baglan Dragons 2-2 Llanelli Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 22%, draw 24%, Llanelli Town 53%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✗ BTTS No
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