Baglan Dragons 1-2 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Mar 2024

Baglan Dragons
1-2 HT 1-0
Llanelli Town
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Baglan Dragons vs Llanelli Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.5pp
32%
Draw
22%
+9.6pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baglan Dragons v Llanelli Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 59%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +9%
0.51/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.81/1.00
-64% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Baglan Dragons vs Llanelli Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Llanelli Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0 Corners 5
The Meetings
08.09.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town edged past Baglan Dragons 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Llanelli Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Llanelli Town?

Baglan Dragons 1-2 Llanelli Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 23%, draw 32%, Llanelli Town 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanelli Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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