Carmarthen Town 2-0 Taffs Well — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.9pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.74/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.49
-12% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Taffs Well
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2 Corners 7
08.09.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-1 HT 1-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
22.04.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-1 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
06.12.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
26.03.2022 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-0 HT 1-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Taffs Well
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town saw off Taffs Well 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Taffs Well led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.25 for Taffs Well.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Taffs Well?

Carmarthen Town 2-0 Taffs Well in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Taffs Well?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 47%, draw 23%, Taffs Well 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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