Pontardawe Town FC 2-2 Abertillery Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
62%
-14.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.7pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.5pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Abertillery Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 22%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.00/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.46
-56% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontardawe Town FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Abertillery Bluebirds
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
7 Corners 4
09.09.2023 Abertillery Bluebirds Abertillery Bluebirds 2-2 HT 1-1 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontardawe Town FC vs Abertillery Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontardawe Town FC and Abertillery Bluebirds couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pontardawe Town FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Pontardawe Town FC vs Abertillery Bluebirds?

Pontardawe Town FC 2-2 Abertillery Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontardawe Town FC vs Abertillery Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontardawe Town FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pontardawe Town FC 48%, draw 22%, Abertillery Bluebirds 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pontardawe Town FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontardawe Town FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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