Chirk AAA 1-4 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.4pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-4.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chirk AAA EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 69%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.93/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/1.00
-31% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +115% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chirk AAA
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Mold Alexandra
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1 Corners 8
09.09.2023 Mold Alexandra 5-2 HT 3-0 Chirk AAA Chirk AAA GALFAW
11.02.2023 Chirk AAA Chirk AAA 3-1 HT 1-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
06.09.2022 Mold Alexandra 1-0 HT 1-0 Chirk AAA Chirk AAA GALFAW
POST-MATCH Chirk AAA vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra ran out comfortable winners over Chirk AAA 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mold Alexandra as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chirk AAA and 2.33 for Mold Alexandra.

What was the final score of Chirk AAA vs Mold Alexandra?

Chirk AAA 1-4 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chirk AAA vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Chirk AAA 17%, draw 24%, Mold Alexandra 59%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mold Alexandra), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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