Porthmadog 0-1 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.6pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porthmadog EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
2.12/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.15
-1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +64%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porthmadog
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
09.09.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 2-3 HT 2-2 Porthmadog Porthmadog GALFAW
07.04.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 3-1 HT 2-0 Porthmadog Porthmadog GALFAW
02.08.2022 Porthmadog Porthmadog 0-1 HT 0-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Porthmadog vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic edged past Porthmadog 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Porthmadog at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gresford Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Porthmadog and 2.00 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Porthmadog vs Gresford Athletic?

Porthmadog 0-1 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porthmadog vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porthmadog win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Porthmadog 43%, draw 23%, Gresford Athletic 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Porthmadog) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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