Llantwit Major 3-1 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.41
No
33%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+9.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.2pp
67%
BTTS Yes
67%
+0.2pp
33%
BTTS No
33%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.11/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.92
-45% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Trefelin
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
09.09.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 3-3 HT 1-2 Llantwit Major GALFAW
04.03.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 0-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
30.07.2022 Llantwit Major 1-2 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
26.02.2022 Llantwit Major 2-1 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major saw off Trefelin 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Llantwit Major made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.50 for Trefelin.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Trefelin?

Llantwit Major 3-1 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 35%, draw 26%, Trefelin 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trefelin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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