Llay Miners Welfare 2-5 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.3pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +26%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
241 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llay Miners Welfare
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Holywell
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
03.08.2024 Holywell Holywell 3-1 Llay Miners Welfare Llay Miners Welfare GALLK
POST-MATCH Llay Miners Welfare vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell cruised past Llay Miners Welfare 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Llay Miners Welfare vs Holywell?

Llay Miners Welfare 2-5 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llay Miners Welfare vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Llay Miners Welfare 26%, draw 21%, Holywell 53%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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