03/08/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Holywell vs Llay Miners Welfare Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS Yes
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
18%
Draw
16%
23%
Away Win
12%
29%
Under 2.5
25%
71%
Over 2.5
75%
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
39%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Holywell v Llay Miners Welfare — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Holywell
EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY
Llay Miners Welfare
EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
19
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
6
434 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
303 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Holywell vs Llay Miners Welfare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Holywell saw off Llay Miners Welfare 3-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Holywell vs Llay Miners Welfare?
Holywell 3-1 Llay Miners Welfare in the Wales - League Cup on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Holywell vs Llay Miners Welfare?
Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Holywell 59%, draw 18%, Llay Miners Welfare 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Holywell)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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GALLK
More Wales - League Cup
3 Aug 2024