Holywell 3-1 Llay Miners Welfare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
3.46
Over 2.5
71%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.8pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.3pp
29%
Under 2.5
25%
+3.5pp
71%
Over 2.5
75%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.2pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
434 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Llay Miners Welfare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell saw off Llay Miners Welfare 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Holywell 3-1 Llay Miners Welfare in the Wales - League Cup on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Holywell 59%, draw 18%, Llay Miners Welfare 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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