Llantwit Major 2-3 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
27%
5.71
Away
58%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
7%
+7.6pp
27%
Draw
14%
+13.0pp
58%
Away Win
79%
-20.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
272 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff MU edged past Llantwit Major 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cardiff MU as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Cardiff MU?

Llantwit Major 2-3 Cardiff MU in the Wales - League Cup on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 15%, draw 27%, Cardiff MU 58%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff MU), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff MU) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALLK More Wales - League Cup
3 Aug 2024
16:30 Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town Analysis →
16:30 Llandudno FC vs Guilsfield Analysis →
16:30 Buckley Town vs Connahs Quay Analysis →
16:30 Carmarthen Town vs Haverfordwest County Analysis →
16:30 Gresford Athletic vs Broughton Analysis →
16:30 Holywell vs Llay Miners Welfare Analysis →