Colwyn Bay 0-2 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.35
No
47%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.5
2-3 Goals
38%
2.13
4-5 Goals
27%
2.51
6+ Goals
12%
5.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
70%
-17.2pp
47%
BTTS No
30%
+17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-53% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +76%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colwyn Bay
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Corners 5
29.03.2024 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-2 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
09.02.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
05.01.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
15.09.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 3-1 HT 2-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberystwyth Town beat Colwyn Bay 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Colwyn Bay at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Colwyn Bay and 1.00 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town?

Colwyn Bay 0-2 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - League Cup on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 44%, draw 23%, Aberystwyth Town 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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