Colwyn Bay 1-2 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.8
Over 2.5
36%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.78
6+ Goals
6%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 35% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.6pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.27/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.00
-13% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colwyn Bay
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Corners 5
09.02.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
05.01.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
15.09.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 3-1 HT 2-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberystwyth Town nicked a narrow win over Colwyn Bay 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Aberystwyth Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Colwyn Bay had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Colwyn Bay and 0.67 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town?

Colwyn Bay 1-2 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 37%, draw 24%, Aberystwyth Town 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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