Connahs Quay 0-0 Newtown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
15%
7.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Newtown EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
2.10/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.55
+10% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Newtown
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
10.02.2024 Newtown Newtown 2-3 HT 1-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
26.12.2023 Newtown Newtown 1-2 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
29.08.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 3-1 HT 1-1 Newtown Newtown GAL
24.03.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-0 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
11.02.2023 Newtown Newtown 1-1 HT 1-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
07.01.2023 Newtown Newtown 0-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
0-0
AWAY Newtown
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Newtown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay and Newtown fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Connahs Quay at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Connahs Quay had 62% of the ball to Newtown's 38%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.83 for Newtown.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Newtown?

Connahs Quay 0-0 Newtown in the Wales - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Newtown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 57%, draw 21%, Newtown 22%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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