Newtown vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newtown v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Newtown vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
3-1
HT 1-1
Newtown
GAL
2-0
HT 0-0
Newtown
GAL
1-1
HT 1-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
3-1
HT 2-0
Newtown
GAL
Newtown 2-3 Connahs Quay — Actual Match Statistics
Connahs Quay edged past Newtown 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Newtown had 47% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 53%, shots finished 10-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Newtown and 1.83 for Connahs Quay.
What was the final score of Newtown vs Connahs Quay?
Newtown 2-3 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newtown vs Connahs Quay?
Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newtown 34%, draw 25%, Connahs Quay 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.