Penybont 2-2 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
13%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penybont EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -15%
1.99/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.95
+19% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penybont
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Barry Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
28.11.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
26.09.2023 Penybont Penybont 1-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
11.02.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
04.02.2022 Penybont Penybont 4-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
27.04.2021 Penybont Penybont 2-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
20.04.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 3-3 HT 3-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penybont
2-2
AWAY Barry Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 10
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Penybont vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont and Barry Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Penybont at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Penybont had 49% of the ball to Barry Town's 51%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Penybont and 0.67 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Penybont vs Barry Town?

Penybont 2-2 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penybont vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Penybont 52%, draw 24%, Barry Town 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Penybont) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
10 Feb 2024
17:30 Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town Analysis →
17:30 Newtown vs Connahs Quay Analysis →