Aberystwyth Town vs Colwyn Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aberystwyth Town v Colwyn Bay — Team-Based Signals
Aberystwyth Town vs Colwyn Bay Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Aberystwyth Town
GAL
Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Colwyn Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Colwyn Bay nicked a narrow win over Aberystwyth Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Colwyn Bay found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Aberystwyth Town had 50% of the ball to Colwyn Bay's 50%, shots finished 9-4.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 1.50 for Colwyn Bay.
What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Premier League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 40%, draw 24%, Colwyn Bay 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.