Haverfordwest County 1-1 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 9 Feb 2024

Haverfordwest County
1-1 HT 1-1
Pontypridd Town AFC
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2023/2024

Haverfordwest County vs Pontypridd Town AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 23% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haverfordwest County v Pontypridd Town AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.37/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.34
-12% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Haverfordwest County vs Pontypridd Town AFC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
11.08.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-0 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GAL
07.04.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-0 HT 1-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GAL
25.02.2023 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
31.12.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GAL
26.12.2022 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 3-2 HT 2-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL

Haverfordwest County 1-1 Pontypridd Town AFC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haverfordwest County
1-1
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 3
8 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County and Pontypridd Town AFC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Haverfordwest County at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Haverfordwest County had 61% of the ball to Pontypridd Town AFC's 39%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Haverfordwest County and 1.33 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Haverfordwest County 1-1 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - Premier League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 46%, draw 31%, Pontypridd Town AFC 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Haverfordwest County), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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